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Middle East
Thoughts -- 11 August 2008

Thoughts -- 6 July 2008

Thoughts -- 6 June 2008

Thoughts -- 12 May 2008

Thoughts -- 16 April 2008

Thoughts -- 15 March 2008

Thoughts -- 7 February 2008

Predictions 2008 -- 12 January 2008

Thoughts -- 10 December 2007

Israel Conversations November 2007

Thoughts -- 7 October 2007

Thoughts -- 3 September 2007

Thoughts -- 1 August 2007

Thoughts -- 17 June 2007 including special attention to Ethanol developments

Thoughts -- 3 May 2007 with emphasis on Winograd Commission report in Israel; including travel notes on Salt Lake City, Utah w/photos and updates on Charleston and Kiawah Island, South Carolina

Thoughts -- 1 April 2007 including Passover Notes and Cute Photos

Thoughts -- 5 March 2007

Thoughts -- 7 February 2007

Predictions 2007 - 3 January 2007

Text of Limmud Speech 25 December 2006, Nottingham, England. Countdown to WWIII?

Notes from Limmud 2006 Conference

Thoughts: 13 November 2006: Post-Election World View.

Thoughts: 1 October 2006: Paninis, Middle East, World and US Politics, Business Travel

Thoughts: 20 August 2006: Countdown to World War III

Update: Middle East 26 July 2006

Update: Middle East Situation 12 July 2006

Thoughts: July 9, 2006

Thoughts: June 11, 2006

Thoughts: 7 May 2006

Thoughts: 9 April 2006

Thoughts: 5 March 2006

Thoughts: 7 February 2006

Thoughts: 4 January 2006 with Predictions

Thoughts: 4 December 2005

Thoughts: 7 November 2005

Thoughts and Trip Notes (DC, Chicago and Greenbrier) -- 2 October 2005

Ivan Op-Ed Article Published in Jewish Week September 16, 2005 re Pakistan/Israeli Meetings with Saudi Blessing

Thoughts -- Hurricane Katrina, Gaza Withdrawal & Aftermath -- 5 Sept. 2005

Israel & Pakistan Talks -- Stepping Stone to Something Bigger? -- 5 Sept. 2005

Notes -- August 2005 World Issues; Travel Notes and Visit to Toronto & Langdan Hall

Notes -- July 2005 and Visit to Blantyre

Notes -- Israel Visit, Germany and Other Random Global Thoughts -- 1 June 2005

Global Thoughts -- April 2005

Travel Notes Round the World -- Cyprus (Greek and Turkish), Amman, Dubai, Mumbai, Singapore -- April 2005 (with internal link to photo tour at end of article).

Global Thoughts -- 7 February 2005

Year End Thoughts and Predictions for 2005 -- 28 December 2004

Global Thoughts -- Post-Election America; Post-Arafat Middle East; the UN -- 15 November 2004

Global Thoughts Update 25 August 2004

Global Thoughts (assorted issues) -- 30 June 2004

Global Thoughts (assorted issues)-- 4 May 2004

Global Thoughts: Presidential Race; Various World Issues; Gay Marriage; Gender Roles and Religion;  H1 Program -- 21 March 2004

Global Thoughts -- Predictions for 2004 -- 3 January 2004

Global Thoughts Thanksgiving Day 2003 -- 27 November 2003 

Global Thoughts -- The US as Global Citizen -- 5 October 2003

Global Thoughts September 11, 2003 -- US Foreign Policy in Middle East; Israel-Palestine; Economy; Bush 2004; Montreal Travel

Global Thoughts -- Hot Spots -- 23 June 2003

Global Thoughts -- World Issues, Euros and Good Eyeglass Cleaner for Travel -- 11 May 2003

Global Thoughts -- After the War: Assessments, Lessons Learned, Future Prospects -- 15 April 2003

Predictions for 2003 and Year-End Notes -- 4 January 2003

London What's New & Limmud Conference Notes -- 31 December 2003

Address to 2002 Limmud Conference at the University of Nottingham, UK -- 23 Dec. 2002

Global Thoughts – 1 December 2002 
Iraq; Israel Elections and Palestinian Affairs; Bush Legacies; World Superpower Watch; Highlights of Trip Journal; Principles of Respect vs. Tolerance.

Insight: Saudi Consumer Society and Attitudes -- 1 December 2002
 

Global Thoughts -- 15 September 2002
Family Weekend in the Country; 9/11 One Year Later; Regional Politics Selected Issues; State of the World at the High Holidays: On Internet Connectivity, Evil, Knowledge and the Ever-Increasing Value of 1:1 Human Relations. 

Global Thoughts – 23 June 2002
Markets, Post 9/11 America and Foreign Policy Shifts, Iran and Saudi Arabia, 
Israel/Palestine; Child Sacrifice: Biblical Perspective

Middle East Situation -- 17 April 2002

Global Thoughts Update...4 March 2002
Focus on Japan and the Middle East
Response to comments re: Education Reform Initiative.

Global Thoughts -- 3 February 2002
Charleston South Carolina, Economy, Saudi Arabia, Terrorism, Afghanistan, Anthrax, Pakistan/India/Kashmir, Bill Clinton One Year Later, Gulf Region / Iraq (Notes from Conversation with Richard Perle), Israel-Palestinian Affairs; Day School Tuition.

Year End Predictions & Observations, Latest Travel Tips -- 31 December 2001

Limmud Conference Address Text -- 26 December 2001

Thoughts on Assorted Subjects -- 4 December 2001

Global Thoughts -- 12 November 2001: Letter from NY; The War Effort; Shifts in Foreign Policy; Israel/Palestinian Situation; Buy Recommendations; Yassir & Yossi Show; Forecasts

Global Thoughts on the Situation and Report from the Middle East -- 28 October 2001

Israel/Jordan visit: Trip Journal & Summaries of Dialogues -- 21 October 2001

Zionism and Humanism in Perspective -- 5 August 2001

Is Sharon Bluffing? -- 19 July 2001

Refugee Compensation and Resettlement: A Working Paper of Principles and Methods -- 8 July 2001

Why I’m Not Going to Israel This Year (and why I am going to Israel this year) and Why Last Year’s Policy Speech Is Still Correct -- 8 July 2001

Current Thoughts -- 4 July 2001

Current Thoughts: Middle East, Asia, Economy, Life Issues -- 15 May 2001

WHAT NOW? Israel's New Government -- Endurance Test Begins -- 8 March 2001

Israeli Election Snap Reaction -- 6 February 2001

Talking Politics: Current Issues (US, Middle East); Thoughts About American Currency -- 20 January 2001

Year-End Predictions 2000: 31 December 2000

Global Trends: 19 November 2000
US Elections; Middle East; Oil Markets; Hamas and the Flood

Middle East Situational Report -- 23 October

Current Situation Bulletin -- 30 July 2000

Text of Ivan's Speech re Future of Middle East and American Jewry, delivered 22 July 2000

Assad's Death: What Comes Next -- 12 June 2000

Quick Comment on Israel's Lebanon Withdrawal: Lessons Learned -- 28 May 2000

Update: 22 May 2000

Update: 17 April 2000 and Passover Message on the State of Israel and American Jewry

Update: 6 April 2000

Situation Update & Comments: Putin, Taiwan elections, Gore's VP Choice, Pope's Holyland Visit -- 29 March 2000

Ivan's Opinion -- 6 March 2000

Update: 24 February 2000

Update: 10 February 2000

Update: 31 January 2000

Update: 17 November 1999

2 Opinion Articles written December 1999 for NY Jewish Week re overall Middle East philosophy:

Next Generation Middle Easterners: An Undiscovered Planet for American Jewry

Discerning Reality amid Abstraction: Humility Needed

Archival Material (so you can see to what extent past predictions have been correct):

(Third Party Contribution):  The New Defense Doctrine and New Technology of Israel Armed Forces ("IDF")  For 2000 by Oded Yinon, military analyst -- September 1, 1999

IRAN: Plotting a Course for The Years to Come -- 25 August 1999

Peace Process Update: What's Really Going On?  Also: Details re Golan -- 19 Aug. 1999

The New Israeli Government; Comments on World Economy & Serbia -- 13 July 1999

Israel Elections -- 12 Days to Go -- 5 May 1999

Israel Elections -- 60 Day Futures Forecast -- 22 March 1999

Israel Elections and Jordan Succession -- New Causes For Optimism -- 27 January 1999

Israeli Elections -- Preliminary Analysis and Predictions -- 24 December 1998
 

A Twenty-Something View of the Middle East -- December 1995 -- posted 6 August 2000