| The
Limmud conference attracts about 2,300 people from 30 countries and meets
in Nottingham England for 5 days during Christmas week. For details, go
to limmud.org.
Gershon Baskin, CEO of Israel-Palestine Center
for Research and Information....Been dealing with lots of behind the scenes
non-governmental relations with Arabs....The Saudis and Syrians send low-level
people to deal with Israel; when the representation gets more serious,
we’ll know they mean business. Saudis have put no effort into selling their
peace plan which they insist on calling the Arab League plan. Gestures
are not a substitute for policy. Must have objectives. Israeli intelligence
still doesn’t understand the Arab mentality and how things will play out;
the Olmert Abbas meeting was humiliating for the Arab street even though
it may have been intended to help him. Or perhaps the Israelis were wily
enough to make it look nice for CNN and at the same time make it miserable
for Abbas on the street.
Gerald Steinberg, strategist based on Bar Ilan
University who is often quoted in the press....Syria’s Assad is incoherent
according to people who meet with him. Probably not really in charge. Iranian
and Syrian leaders understand very little about Israel and its red lines
and are most likely to miscalculate and start a war. Had no idea that Pakistan
was a problem that needed to be monitored when I mentioned it. He went
through the map of regional countries and Pakistan wasn’t even on it. Didn’t
have a strong opinion about what should be done about Iran; said he’s an
academic. Tends toward Luttwack’s opinion that a week of bombing in Iran
could knock out 80% of its capability and disagrees with Uri Lubrani’s
analysis that we should focus efforts at changing the government instead
of military moves against Iran.
David Landau, editor in chief of Haaretz newspaper
in Israel.....Hamas is so hateful they won’t even deal with Israel on pragmatic
governing issues. They are just in la-la land. Gerald Steinberg and Gershon
say the same. Israel lost the Lebanon war; army failed to defend the border.
Not a guerilla war there. Arabs think they can beat Israel now. Avigdor
Lieberman thinks he will be prime minister. No mutually assured destruction
deterrent if Ayatollahs are prepared to have 10 million Iranians die destroying
Israel. Israel cannot survive under the threat of a nuclear Ayatollah and
must pre-empt this threat no matter what. Coming from such a leftist, this
apocalyptic vision is amazing to the conference participants.
Clive Lawton on Intermarriage: Immigrants realize
that where they are now is not the best it could be since they’ve seen
otherwise. This is something they bring to society. Moses couldn’t speak
Hebrew and it appears he didn’t care much for Jews. Yehudit was Esau’s
wife and a Hittite. Leader must empathize but stand apart from the people
he leads. Most biblical figures from Joseph through Moses, David and Solomon
all intermarried and not only that but usually daughters of high priests
of the other religions.
Fathi, an Israeli Arab involved in NGO work with
Shatil of the New Israel Fund: The Arabs should decide their future as
to whether to join a Palestinian state; the Jews should decide for them
via a Lieberman. If he is prime minister, they will live with it since
opposing the state causes death. He agrees Israel should be a Jewish state
but agrees it’s a problem with one-man one-vote when you see that demographic
changes in Iraq and Lebanon are upsetting delicate balances created a generation
ago. Feels today’s Palestine is a click and doesn’t want to be a part of
it.
Session on origins of the Siddur, the Jewish prayer
book: “Kavana” meant the improvisational words you put into prayer since
there was no text. Now it means the feeling behind the words in the text.
Private Conversation with one of these speakers
who impressed me that he knows his stuff and has been in the business for
about 30 years....Hamas Prime Minister Haniya’s two advisors are smart;
one speaks Hebrew but their private words don’t match the public statements
and one should believe the public over the private and the public statements
are much more hostile. Abbas is a nice guy but a coward. Dahlan is smooth
and corrupt and owned by the US and Israel and thus trusted by them. The
US gave him $35 million to buy arms and the UK just sent him to Cambridge
to learn English while he was listed out for surgery. Israel gave him exclusive
franchise to run the Erez checkpoint and has kept a close eye on him since
the age of 16. A dangerously corrupt man; wouldn’t sell him life insurance...Jibril
is a competent and physically imposing guy... Barghouti is a man of principle
who stands by his word; you can deal with him and the Israelis will free
him and he will help Abbas create a governing combination that will work.
His conviction for murder is intentionally vague to leave an opening; he
was not found to have actually pulled the trigger on anyone. Sharon allowed
a Meretz member of Knesset to start a dialogue with him which has continued.
Barak was such an autistic moron that he sent Ginnossar to Arafat to threaten
to kill him while they were negotiating one night over the 2000 Intifadah
which had just begun. Arafat kicked him out of the office and instead of
things finishing that night they just went on for months. This was an eyewitness
account. Bibi also burned his bridges. Olmert is a good chess player in
politics. Nobody better except maybe Livni who is intentionally keeping
a low profile for now. Tom Friedman only used 3 sources while he was bureau
chief in Jerusalem. Was narrow even then. Ayalon is a Labor man seeing
himself as prime minister who should not be trusted. “Hudna” would be the
basis of a deal if Hamas stays in government. If Olmert deals with Hamas
it will be OK as long as the deal is decent to the Palestinians – it’s
the same deal for Hamas or Fatah. Fatah will win local elections; they
won the majority of the popular vote last time but split their tickets
and lost the parliament; not stupid enough to do that again. Says Hamas
is dealing on the prisoners and that a deal is very much in play; Syria
did not veto the deal as Mubarak reported and says that it is not true
that the Syrians gave $50 million to have Mashaal veto the deal as was
charged by the Israeli ambassador to the UN; the reason the Egyptians can’t
get the Hamas to agree is that they are strong-arming and asking to be
given too much control over the process. Wanted the prisoner Shalit to
be handed to them and the Hamas was afraid the Egyptians would just turn
him over to the Israelis....Met with Arafat and found him to be as bad
as he thought he would be – just a narrow bit of a person who was fussy
about what he would talk about if he would see you at all, and at the end
of his life was simply out of it. |