 
 
Ivan in Wyoming with the view from his hotel room at right; kids at
Mohonk Lodge in New York, June 2011
At the end of this month, we’re moving to a part-time nanny. Our kids
will be occupied till 2pm and 4pm respectively on weekdays now....We
went to see our kids in gymnastics this month. Elizabeth has a great
smile on the dismount and that look of determination on her face when
she is trying to get it right. The coaches think she has potential and
keep giving her extra attention when she goes back and tries again. The
other kids get one try and they go on to the next kid, no matter what
happens....Jeremy has a great sense of humor. His grandmother “Oma” was
in residence in his room and one evening he went and hid all her
jewelry. We asked where he hid it and he showed us, but not before
saying “I trick Oma.” Elizabeth wrote her first note all by herself
this morning saying “I Luv U Oma Elizabeth” and asked me to poste it to
her in Australia. I guess that’s a nice first letter for someone to
write.
World Thoughts –Obama
has the advantage because when push comes to shove, the Republicans
still want enough government to pay for all the entitlements that they
don’t want to give up, such as Medicare. Even the tea party rank and
file can’t let go of their entitlements even though they say they don’t
want government or to pay taxes.....Basically they don’t want
government or taxes but they don’t want to give up their piece of the
entitlement pie.....So far, Obama hasn’t really hurt anyone enough to
make them run out and vote against him. The health insurance thing
sucks but it’s not going to drive people to the polls.
The recent tapping of the US oil
reserves makes no real sense from any standpoint. There is
nothing material to be gained or lost from it beyond the moment, and it
is a card you cannot really play too many times.
US Supreme Court
keeps showing up as insensitive to normal people and looks like a body
bought up by business interests and making horrible decisions that are
disgusting to real people. Maybe this is the liberal media at work, but
it is starting to smell bad. Clarence Thomas in particular is not
looking very justiciable. Either the media needs to consider how
all this criticism is taking its toll on the perceived fairness of a
court that is supposed to represent justice, or perhaps the court is
really is that awful and the citizens are justified in looking at it
very cynically. Recent decisions on things such as class actions
involving terrible contracts for cellular phones with AT&T, torture
decisions, etc. are examples of decisions that really look like the
court has zero interest in real people or any ability to look at law
except as ideological robots in a manner that is so technical as to be
completely devoid of reality to normal people. You’d have to think they
were being bought to come out this way and I wouldn’t mind seeing some
more investigations by the press into where the money is going with
their wives, children, etc. All these not for profits are a back door
to lawmakers – someone needs to see if the Supreme Court is really
clean when you start looking carefully. I wouldn’t be surprised at all
to find out what might lurk below. I think also that more such scrutiny
ought to be given by the press at the state court level where people
aren’t looking very hard but the effects of justice for sale are just
as strong.
One thing I’m noticing is that law
firms are “in-sourcing” – not sending legal work to India but
rather opening up cheaper offices in places like West Virginia and
paying people lower salaries to just get the legal work done here and
not think about becoming partner. You also see lots of factories moving
work here. I think that’s what is going to work – people find this
outsourcing to India a crock and are finding more efficient ways to
just get the work done here in the USA.
Another area where the market works – our local supermarket says that
hardly anyone is buying tilapia fish anymore.
All the stuff comes from China. After attention was thrown on the
unclean nature of the chinese tilapia fish, nobody wants to feed it to
their kids anymore around here. Finding a fish to feed small kids is
not easy; we’ve been told by the grocer to switch to cod. Expect cod
fish prices to rise.
George Friedman of Stratfor writes an interesting military analysis on Israel’s borders
arguing that Israel would be better off militarily returning to the
pre-1967 war borders (1949 borders) essentially saying that in 1948,
1956 and 1967 Israel fought successful wars from those borders. Ever
since then, they have failed to win wars well or on their own without
resupply from foreign powers. It is not good to have to depend on the
grace of a foreign power to defend against existential threats. He
feels that Israel can defend itself by itself fighting from the 1949
borders better than as an occupier over more territory and would
ultimately be safer that way. As far as the newer threats of chemical,
biological and nuclear weapons, he feels that the extra territory held
by Israel would be worthless against those threats. The only real
reason to maintain the 1967 borders is against rocket attacks by Hamas
in a Palestinian state in the West Bank which he does not view as an
existential threat but a manageable nuisance; Gaza he doesn’t view as
an issue because Israel’s borders wouldn’t change viz a viz Gaza.
He who defends everything defends nothing, he quotes Frederick the
Great. Personally, I’ve felt all along that a leaner meaner Israel
would be stronger in the long run. I don’t think Stratfor is in any way
anti-Israel with an axe to grind. So I think their down-the-middle
analysis deserves thought by those who are cock-sure that holding all
the territories is really the best security-wise solution.
Egyptian President Sadat once made a remark that Egypt was the only real nation in
the Arab world; that all the other countries were basically collections
of tribes with artificial borders. To a great extent, he’s been proven
right. Look around at the Arab Spring today and you can see that the
biggest impediment to change is that many of these countries have no
real national institutions or affiliations to rally around. It is a
collection of countries with people living within borders who often
really don’t care for each other, to say the least.
Here’s a hopeful thought – Egypt, Turkey, Syria, Lebanon, Jordan, Saudi
Arabia, Iraq – guess what? The Iranians and Shiites are actually a bit
on the run. The momentum is moving toward a Sunni arc, not a Shiite one. When
Assad gets thrown out in Syria, there is a good chance of that country
coming up with a Sunni leader because that’s the majority in that
country. Iran is going to get a colder shoulder in Lebanon if Syria
goes Sunni, and Turkey has become hostile to Assad realizing where
things are going. Egypt has gone soft on its recent overtures toward
Iran and the Egyptian cabinet today released a survey showing that 67%
of Egyptians want to keep the peace treaty with Israel, something that
I have no reason to doubt. And the Iranians are fighting pretty well
now among their own and
Ahmadenijad is not in a good place among the clerics. What is ironic is
that behind all the ruckus the Iranians have been taking real steps to
fix their dysfunctional economy. The Egyptians have not been doing so.
One thing I noticed during a recent visit to Paris was how the French
feel this guy who was arrested in New York on a sex scandal (head of IMF) was set up by his
political enemies in advance of a presidential election in that country
in which this guy was favored to win.
In Australia, during the past
year, the mining industry spent $22 million in 6 weeks to knock out a
tax that the prime minister had wanted to impose. And the prime
minister got knocked out of office. The tax savings to the industry was
$100 billion. Obviously it pays for corporations to spend money to
defend their interests. Funny thing is that no mine they ever
prospected offered such a return!
I think Egypt made a deal to
open Rafah border, get a Hamas/Fatah reconciliation and perhaps to try
and free Gilad Shalit, although the latter didn’t seem to pan out.
Ultimately, I think the Israelis stay mum because the Egypt moves is
really as little as the military thinks it needs to do to get in front
of the public, without real change. So far, the indication is that this
is correct. The Rafah border crossing is full of restrictions and
didn’t hold up for even one week. I don’t expect much to come from the
Fatah-Hamas reconciliation either. This is the second such
reconciliation and the last one led within a month to a Gaza takeover
by Hamas. And I suppose Shalit will still be sitting around also.
I read this week that 22% of American
Jews have attended a Jewish-style wedding and 33% have attended
a Bar Mitzvah ceremony. Less than 20% of Jews under 40 who do volunteer
work involve themselves in Jewish causes; the percentage is less than
10% when it comes to Israeli-related causes. Those are depressingly low
figures for major life-cycle events and reflect just how alienated Jews
in America are from communal activities. It just piles on to the
comments I made last month about how the American Jews of this
generation are not going to be like their parents. Politically, it
probably means that within a generation the so-called Jewish Vote will
not be a factor in American politics because there are no real Jewish
or Israeli issues that will excite them. By the way, I’ve been hearing
political analysts say this for several years and now I’m starting to
believe them although I must admit that about 25-30 years ago I heard
the late New York Senator Patrick Moynihan personally tell me this at a
fund-raiser I attended and so far it isn’t true.
Travel Notes
Went to Paris and Wyoming this month;
I had some business here. Flew OpenSkies, an all business class airline
from Newark to Orly airport. Orly is easy in and out and only about 50
people on the whole plane so it is easy on and off. Don’t order vege
food; just take the vege choice from the main items. Increasingly,
ordering special vege meals has been disgusting no matter which
airline. It is nice having a plane with only 22 rows of seats. The
first 5 are lie-flats and the rest are basically decent reclining seats
with lots of leg room; I don’t think the lie-flat is necessary for this
flight. At Orly on departure make sure you show goods to the VAT guy
who won’t stamp them otherwise for your refund. Taxi to central Paris
is 30 Euro in 30 minutes.
King George V hotel lives up to its reputation. Shoes dirty in your
room? They will notice and have them cleaned before you get the chance
to send them down at night for polishing. Show up at the business
center at midnight, pick up a phone and within a minute somebody will
let you in. There is a Flower God here and they keep changing flowers
in the lobby and courtyard something like every half hour. Food and
beverage is great; spa and gym and pool are great. Pages in pretty hats
and uniforms bring you letters from the concierges who are excellent at
giving you recommendations. The whole place runs very well and deserves
its rating as top 5% of the world’s hotels; the TV in your room has
channels from Cuba to Kazakhstan and the bathtub women will love. A
premiere room is like a suite. I got a kick out of watching a cooking
show on Saudi English TV channel. Some Indian lady spent half an hour
against a very dull backdrop making a tuna club sandwich and a Saudi
man and woman were providing a running commentary chatting up this lady
about this sandwich basically made from a can of tuna. I almost wanted
to tune in the next day figuring they might be moving onto egg salad.
Amazing what TV is like in certain places of the world. This hotel has
a very nice interior courtyard; piano music in the lobby; breakfast is
very good and a chocolate cake was placed in the room on arrival that
was clearly the best dessert I had on the entire trip.
Went to Arch D’Triumph and climbed the 300 steps to the top in about 10
minutes. The elevator was broken and has been for some time. It is a
nice view. Went to Laduree at Rue St. Honore and Royale for lunch;
dessert was disappointing but the salads and quiche were lovely. Walked
around Madeline; the toy store on that street is out of business.
MikiHouse on St. Honore has beautiful kids clothes but prices on
another planet. LongChamp sells women’s bags and women from Asia were
all over the place as if they were giving the stuff away. The Touleries
gardens are parched from drought. In the evening went to Montmarte and
snuck onto the funicular and made the way to Eifel Tower and the Seine
river boat area at dusk; the line there is insane and you would be
silly to go there without advance tickets bought over the internet. I
couldn’t get reservations to the bistro I wanted which was Chez Dumonet
but concierge sent me to Dessirier at 9 Place du Marechal Juin phone
42.27.82.14 which was just as excellent and run by a Michelin starred
chef. On the second day, spent a good part of it shopping at
Galleries Lafayette and Au Printemps. Except for some interesting
housewares at Au Printemps, basically everything was the same I already
saw at Galleries and you get an additional 10% as a foreigner in
Galleries on many items in the store. Funny that so much of what is
being sold is duplicative for two stores right next to each other. Be
sure to see the view of Paris from the 8th floor roof of the Galleries.
The LongChamp boutique within Galleries was roped off because the
Japanese are all lining up to shop there. I have no idea why and it’s
not as if their stuff is that great. Dinner at the Restaurant Du Palais
Royal at the far end of the gardens of the Palais Royal phone
40.20.00.27. Walk in the evening through the Louvre courtyard and then
taxi to Montpartnesse Tower; tell them you are going to the bar to
avoid paying for the elevator ride to the observation deck. Get a table
and a soda and you’re getting the best view of the Eifel Tower at dusk.
At the top of the hour beginning at 10pm (at least at that time of
year) the tower sparkles for a few minutes and that’s very cool. My
colleague reports he went to Museum D’Orsay and took the English tour
which he really liked. Get the tickets in advance to avoid long lines
and ask the concierge if there are special exhibitions which require an
additional ticket and get it in advance. Lunch at Café
Berthillon which is behind the Notre Dame Cathedral just over the
walking bridge behind the playground on Rue St. Louise. It seems there
are a bunch of Berthillon ice cream locations on this little island but
that café also offers their ice cream which is some of the best
in the world and the food is not bad either. Turned out there was a
taxi strike that day but basically I still got around.
Late afternoon taxi transfer to Chateau D’Esclimont about 120 euros and
80 minutes away in St. Symphorien. I’d been there before a few years
back but I was looking at potential conference venues for our company.
It is a beautiful ride through scenic country but aside from GPS, it is
better to have them send you a driver to Paris rather than go with
someone from Paris who doesn’t know where he is going. The property
remains a beautiful hideaway; the top suite has a great bathroom with
jacuzzi and is just simply stunning. Dinner and breakfast were great;
if you open your bathroom and sitting room windows the room cools down
after nightfall. I had July weather in May. This was not the King
George; I asked for help opening the windows and the front desk said
they had nobody to send to my room and nobody ever came to help. Taxi
to Orly is about an hour and 110 Euro.
Now about Wyoming. Air France
changed a bunch of flights on my ticket without telling me and I
discovered this when I went online to check my reservations just 7 days
before I was supposed to fly to France and
Italy this month, just hours before cancellation penalties were going
to hit with the hotels. (And by the way, Air France was really sucky
about doing anything about it. I would avoid that carrier actually.)
Since I couldn’t get the flights I wanted, I
simply cancelled, went home and looked at the Andrew Harper Collection
of hideaways around the world, and thought about what might lurk in the
heart of America. I’d heard good things about this Aman resort in
Wyoming called Amangani. “Where is Wyoming?”, Karen asked me when I
told her that I decided after about 10 minutes of looking in the book
that I would go there instead. Actually, I have very good news for you.
This trip greatly exceeded expectations. Which is a good thing because
on tap was the Hotel Splendido in Portofino, Italy and Chateaux Bagnols
in France.
Aman Resorts has set itself apart in the upper tier resort market with
a focus on the individual. The property has only 40 rooms and is in a
stunning setting about 15 minutes from Jackson, Wyoming. An airport is
30 minutes away and can be reached nonstop from Chicago, Denver, Salt
Lake City hubs. If you are staying here, you want a room facing the
Grand Teton mountain range and there are only a few of them. The Grand
Teton Suite is gorgeous and has a balcony facing the range and lots of
greenery below; the Sena Suite is at ground level with the same view
but is better for families because you can put a rollaway in there and
kids can run out on the grass.
Jackson is a town of 8,000 permanent residents and it’s like stepping
into a real-life episode of Northern Exposure, the TV series set in
Alaska that ran about 15-20 years ago. Lots of
too-intelligent-to-be-there college kids who came on holidays who loved
skiing and the great outdoors who then stayed on. Near the center of
town there is a big corner shack-house surrounded by a fence lined with
skis. They get 700 inches of snow a year here. I hardly met any
natives – if you grow up there, you tend to leave if you don’t like it.
Sort of like the Emirates. You come here for fishing, hunting, skiing,
snow boarding, climbing. Gyms are not big here (why go to one?) and
contact sports like martial arts are pretty passe when there are not
many people around and those that are around are friendly. The whole
state of Wyoming has about 500,000 people and no income tax; it is a
pretty wealthy state due to its natural resources.
The hotel staff is the coolest I’ve met anywhere. Your concierge might
have been bronco-riding at the rodeo the night before. Your safari
guide might have a dual degree in molecular biology and theater.
Someone at the front desk might be from Fiji whose dad manages a top
resort there. You can have a lot of interesting conversations here with
them and other guests.
You see a lot of people coming here in search of opportunities and to
be inspired by the great open spaces. It’s ironic that I was supposed
to spend the week in France and Italy, two of the biggest hold-back
countries of the greater powers today where class and payola determine
your status (ie: getting a university degree demands bribes in Italy).
The food here was just as good as anything I would have had over there
– the hotel food was outstanding, even mundane things such as french
toast and oatmeal were raised to a high art. Snake River Grill in town
and the Rusty Parrot offered dining of the highest order and the
Mexican chocolate dessert is a winner, and the latter is a
world-acclaimed bed and breakfast near the center of town as well
although I wasn’t that impressed with the rooms; I think they score on
service. Climate here in June is very pleasant; it had been snowing
just a few days before I arrived. Went to a performance of 7 Brides for
7 Brothers at the local playhouse; it is a unique theater and there
seems no shortage of great talent in this town. After the show, the
cast lines up in the lobby and everyone says hello to them; after all,
they all know each other. The next night I went to the rodeo. The
invocation “to our lord Jesus Christ” by the rodeo announcer reminded
me that this is a very Christian nation when you get far from New York.
Lots of little kids in this show – 5 and 6 year olds riding
mini-broncos that I wouldn’t want to get within 50 feet of and up quite
past their bedtime. At a certain point they allow all the kids to get
in the ring and chase a calf around that has a ribbon attached to its
legs. The kid that pulls off the ribbon gets a prize. It was darn funny
watching hundreds of kids running after that poor calf. Every evening
at 6pm in the center of town there is a fake shootout involving people
from the playhouse theater cast. The Wort hotel in the center of town
has a lively saloon with a band and dancing and is a great place to go
to. This is a place that reminisces about being the last of the Wild
West but the truth is that most of this town was settled during this
past century; it incorporated around the same time as Miami Beach,
Florida did. It ain’t redneck country by any means. And it votes
Democratic.
Went on a 4 hour safari tour and saw a grizzly bear, beautiful nature
and other animals. My guide told me some of the more stupid questions
he’s ever been asked such as “At what altitude do Elk turn into Moose?”
“What is the white stuff up on top of the mountain?” (He answered
styrofoam to keep people who fall down from getting hurt.) The hotel is
at the edge of the Grand Teton national park; you can see it in a few
hours. It is 60 miles from Yellowstone; other guests told me that if
you hustle, you can cover the most important parts of Yellowstone in a
day but I personally would want to overnight if I were driving 120
miles just to get to and from the park entrance. Hot air ballooning and
paragliding are available here. Took a tram to the top of one of the
Teton mountains to an altitude of about 10,000 feet; it is located at
the base of the ski village and takes about 15 minutes to ride to the
top. It’s all snow up there for most of the year. The Amangani is at an
altitude of about 7,000 feet atop a small mountain; one should drink a
lot of water the first day and expect to be a bit dizzy if he is not
used to high altitudes.
Hotel has a good spa and its own livery of cars to take you and pick
you up from anywhere. They charge for it but it is actually reasonable
and it’s not easy to get a taxi around here. Don’t count on any of them
lining up when the rodeo or a show at the playhouse lets out. It’s good
to be able to walk to the front door and get a ride to anywhere or call
up in the rain and have them come to pick you up in the middle of
nowhere. At the Four Seasons located 20 minutes away in the ski
village, I had to wait 25 minutes for a taxi just to leave the hotel. I
found that property rather dark and ordinary. The Amangani was just a
much more beautiful hideaway, inside and out. Everything from the pool
and jacuzzi to the sitting areas in the lobby is really done top notch.
It’s not perfect; internet was slow and getting hot water in my hotel
room meant running the shower or bath for several minutes before it
came through.
On the way back, United really dropped me in Denver because they
cancelled my flight back to NY due to mechanical problems and then,
since all their flights out of Denver are flying to close to 100%
occupancy, suggested a flight the next day via Chicago with no
overnight hotel offered. I had a first class ticket because I had
anticipated this kind of problem and knew that I wanted to be given
priority to get back to NY if it happened figuring also that Denver was
a hub for United and would have a lot of flights available and I needed
to get back to NY on time; I found no fast-track in the airport to help
a first class passenger in a jam, and I saw them giving higher priority
to people with economy class tickets who had higher status with the
airline with all their elite traveler programs. You don’t get into the
lounge with a first class ticket (although I got in with my Priority
Pass card which I got as an Amex cardholder). Frankly, I sorta wonder
what you get these days for flying First Class. I didn’t get my vege
meal on the flight; you get extra leg room and overhead space but not
much more. I had to book a flight on Southwest to Baltimore, overnight
at the Doubletree by the airport (which was fine, by the way), and fly
back to NY the next morning. I’m still waiting to see what United
Airlines offers me by way of compensation beyond the cost of the flight
that was cancelled. And then there is the travel insurance to turn to.
It cost me more than what they offered me to get back plus the
aggravation. I’ll tell you – Southwest and JetBlue are just much better
airlines than United. A friend of mine has the Black Centurion card
from Amex. It costs $2,500 a year plus a $5,000 initiation fee. It
gives you elite status with many domestic carriers (but not United); he
said that 99% of the time he gets the upgrade. Considering the above,
it might be a cost-effective card to hold if you travel quite a bit,
especially if it turns out that airlines give their best efforts toward
elite status holders rather than to those who pay cash but don’t have
the status.
Anyway, the more important point is that I guess I have been defaulting
to Europe a bit too much and overlooking some of the finer parts of
America that I have been taking for granted. It does help though that
these new resorts are putting a new shine on these places and that air
service brings these places closer especially as flights to Europe
become ridiculously expensive and the Euro isn’t any bargain. Jackson,
Wyoming is actually the third most popular destination in the USA for
Japanese tourists. Who knew?
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