Thoughts -- 22 August 2011
including
Travel to Lake Placid, NY
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Jeremy's 4th birthday party and scenes from Lake Placid Lodge, Lake
Placid NY
Our kids keep surprising us. Elizabeth was at a toy store and saw an
origami kit; the salesperson assumed she didn’t know what it was and
told her that she wouldn’t understand it. Elizabeth said “I know what
origami is; it is from Japan and it deals with folding up
paper.”....Jeremy got some candy by the rabbi in synagogue this past
Saturday and he asked the rabbi “Is it kosher?”
Did you notice that the Guy who threw pie at Murdoch inside the British
parliamentary meeting got 6 weeks in jail. Murdoch meanwhile hasn’t
even been fined. You can screw everyone, but you better mind your
manners in England.....All these
Republicans lost more in the market this last month than the
amount of taxes they might have had to pay had they agreed to
compromise in Congress. The market is fed up with these phony baloney
budgets out of Washington.
Arab Spring all in
all is an opportunity. Libya and Tunisia are side shows. But Syria will
go Sunni. Egypt will be Sunni. Iran will lose its arc. The Saudis and
Bahrainis just married off each other’s royal son and daughter to each
other cementing their ties. Turkey will be Sunni and its army is in
conflict with its own government. All in all, I think it’s a good
thing. Israel will have an easier time getting regional support for a
peace if it doesn’t have Hamas, Hizbullah and Iran stirring the pot and
if it doesn’t have to go to war against Iran because they lose their
foothold in the region all over Israel. Problem solves itself in a
rather unexpected way. This Egypt chill has an interesting byproduct –
the Egyptian army is taking over Sinai which has been run for the past
decade by the Egyptian police. It was all very corrupt and
disorganized. The Israelis are happier to deal with the army that seems
to be interested in getting the area under control. I expect the two
countries to get over the current spat and to deal with the Sinai
region seriously.
Israel summer
demonstrations are cute but no threat; its concentration of 10
families for 30% of its economy is like Switzerland and less than
Sweden....Azerbaijan is Israel’s 4th
largest trading partner and shares a long border with Iran.
Israel presumably has listening posts on Iran within A-jan. It is also
a base for Israeli agents infiltrating Iran...Jordan has 5,000 troops in Bahrain wearing
Saudi uniforms which explains why Saudi invited it into the GCC. People
thought they were just trying to bring them into their orbit, but it
came with a price. Probably a good jobs program for Jordan
though!
Rick Perry – He is
governor of Texas and Republican presidential candidate. I would take
him very seriously. In fact, he would be my outside guess to be
Republican candidate and the next president if this is the best the
Republicans have. According to a reporter who has covered him for many
years, he is disciplined, and works morning to night creating jobs in
Texas. He has a lot of friends and he is great at raising money. He has
never lost an election and served as governor now for over a decade. He
seems to be good at moderating his message for New Hampshire and he is
going to get points for picking a message and sticking to it. You might
not like what he says, but he genuinely believes what he says and I
think people want to see some integrity in a politician, and Obama has
consistently shown a lack of it. The liberal media will pounce on
things he says – he will do it purposely knowing that his base of
supporters eats it up like chocolate. If he can get independents to
vote for him, he’s going to be very tough for Obama to beat because I
think that Obama is coming across as a professor and a guy who is not
able to get things done while the country burns and people are not
getting jobs. Perry is all about jobs and the next election is going to
be about the economy because it just ain’t happening here now and it
won’t be for the next several years. He might quack like George Bush
but I think he has a shot, especially since I don’t see anything else
on the horizon yet. I saw Michele Bachmann on the news last week
and my reaction was “Are you kidding?”
This past month I traveled to Lake
Placid NY. You can drive there in 6 hours from here or fly to
Burlington VT and drive about 2 hours; some of it is a ferry crossing.
It is a pretty drive. This used to be a big area for tourism and some
5-star hotels were recently rebuilt. The Lake Placid Lodge is the most
interesting of them; it is a lovely property right on the lake. You can
get a cabin right on the lakeside and the picture windows make you feel
like you are on the lake while you are sitting inside. The decor is
beautiful and the restaurant has a terrace overlooking the lake and the
Whiteface mountain. The owners of this hotel also once owned the Point
Resort at Lake Saranac, about an hour away. That is twice the price (3x
the price if you get the boathouse suite which is the best of the
bunch) and it is a different feel. There the property only houses about
two dozen guests in total and every night is a dinner party to which
you feel obligated to attend, two nights a week in black tie. You have
to want to be there to go there. It’s great if you want to drink – open
bar roughly every 100 feet or so. Not much to do in these places
besides sit in your cabin unless you’re sporty. About a mile from the
Lake Placid Lodge is the Whiteface Lodge which is a more traditional
hotel and more suitable for families – kids are not allowed at the
other two places. Problem with Whiteface is that it’s not on any lake,
it’s not much scenery and the hotel itself and the rooms are rather
dark. I didn’t care for it. Lake Placid village is pretty hokey and I
didn’t feel any need to go into town. It’s a bit far to get over here;
you could almost fly to Wyoming in the same amount of time it takes to
fly to Burlington and then drive over here and then stay in some cool
place right by the airport in Jackson, Wyoming. By the way, Burlington
VT has a pretty downtown with a long pedestrian street and it’s worth a
visit if you’re in the area. But if you were thinking of Lake Placid,
the Lake Placid Lodge is a great hideaway for the sounds of silence,
nature and romance.
I guess Khaddafi is soon to be out in
Libya. My work is done. I am leaving on 2 weeks vacation with
Karen and the kids to Austria. Vienna and Salzburg await.
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