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Heading into the Israeli Elections...Just 12 Days to Go!

i think i am about to clean up here with just 12 days to go. now the
people that wanted to bet me bibi would win are refusing to take bets.
as i forecast in my 60 day futures, barak is gaining ground at the end
and mordechai is losing ground in the center as people want a winner in
the first round to be put out of their misery and it is just clear that
people can't stand bibi. barak hit pay dirt by taking a stand with the
mostly secular russians against the ultra-orthodox who controlled the
interior ministry and humiliated russians. the russians and
ultra-orthodox are the 2 pillars of bibi's support and they are now at
each other's throats. barak finally figured out he could never get the
ultra-orthodox vote but he could get enough of the russkies to break the
stalemate. at the end, the ultra-orthodox will be careful how they act
since they see that barak will run the show and they will be tossed out
with nothing. a strong show for bibi by them will draw hatred and
contempt and they know it. they are in fact moving to deal with barak
now. now it is up to mordechai who polls at less than 10% to make a deal
with barak -- if he doesn't, he will be one of the most hated people in
the country after the elections and he will also be a big loser with no
portfolio so he is best to make the best deal now for himself and his
colleagues. if mordechai gets out, i expect the israel-arab candidate
will also get out. it's important here not only for barak to win but to
win big so he will have a mandate that rests on jewish majority votes
otherwise compromises made by him will always be seen to be
illegitimate. if however the race goes into a second round, barak will
have to give major concessions to get the arabs out to vote in round 2
because he will need their votes to push him over the top in a runoff.